This is just data. Not an opion. Please don’t get mad at me if you don’t like what this suggests.
The data below shows exit polls from the first few days of early voting in GA, AZ and NC with Harris up 8-12%. While one could argue that it’s just because dems get voters out earlier, notice howthe percentage of registered voters who already voted is actually quite a lot higher for republicans. In other words, Harris is leading but not because dems came out sooner. It looks to me like NPA (no party affiliation / independents) are skewing heavily towards Harris. Additionally, the math suggests we’re seeing a decent number of registered republicans voting for Harris as well.